China This Week (Special Edition): Your Complete 2026 Risk Framework
A structured tool to guide your analysis for the year ahead.
Before we resume the regular China This Week cadence, I want to start 2026 by putting a finished tool in your hands—one built for analysts, planners, and decision-makers who need more than headlines.
Over the past five weeks, we built a layered framework for reading China in 2026 linking cognitive incentives, structural stress points, analytic blind spots, strategic gambits, and systemic shock scenarios into a single analytic architecture.
Today, all of that work is consolidated into a single tool.
👉 Download the 2026 China Risk Framework (PDF)
A single, integrated briefing file designed to support planning, briefing, and scenario development throughout the year.
This is the closest thing I can give you to a pocket NSC-style contingency tool for China 2026.
What’s inside
Cognitive Layer
China’s most dangerous beliefs, and how they bias strategy.
Structural Layer
The internal fault lines Beijing cannot acknowledge.
Analytical Layer
What analysts misread in 2025, and what to watch differently now.
Strategic Layer
The five gambits China will rely on to manage pressure in 2026—and the vulnerabilities inside each.
Contingency Layer
Seven “black swan” scenarios created not by chaos, but by structure.
Early-Warning Indicators
A single-page matrix tracking signals across cognitive, structural, operational, and external domains.
How to Use the Framework
Guidance for planning, tabletop exercises, and ongoing scenario tracking.
China This Week resumes its normal schedule next Friday, January 16.
Thank you again for reading Xinanigans and for all the shares, notes, questions, and quiet encouragement you’ve sent over the past year. I’m glad to be building this with you.
V/r,
Erika